- Red heavily implied this during episode six.
- Fully confirmed by the 21st episode, "Berlin".
- Partially true. His daughter died, but there is no indication that Liz is being used as a replacement.
- Season Two reveals that his daughter went on the run again, using her new name as cover, due to being Genre Savvy that she could meet with Reddington again.
- Partially confirmed. Liz did shoot Tom twice in the stomach, but managed to get away from the FBI dragnet in "Berlin Conclusion".
- Season Two shows him locked up by Liz as a means of retrieving information from him about Berlin.
- Confirmed. Only because he's one of Berlin's many agents.
- The first part of this theory has been confirmed. Red's family was murdered in the 1980s. Red was pretty much certain that The Stewmaker wouldn't change his ways, so perhaps he feels the same about himself.
- Confirmed in the second season that Red's family were given new names/history by the FBI after Reddington became a criminal in the 1980s.
He didn't abandon his family, they were slaughtered and left for him to find. There was a massive coverup of the blood bath. Red went rogue to seek revenge and uncover the truth ever sense.
This explains the story with Ressler in "Mako Tanida" and Red's empathy with losing loved ones. Red and Dembe are bonded over their families' blood spilled at their feet, as this is the implied story due to Dembe's slave past. This also explains Red's ballet flashback with who we can only suspect is his daughter, especially in conjunction with the dancers' gossip. Also explains destroying his family home. All of his bodyguards and Keen (even if she doesn't remember fully) have this in common, and he will never fully trust someone who hasn't had this experience.
- "Lord Baltimore" makes it clear that Red's wife is very much alive at least for now - Berlin plans on making her death take a while.
- Averted since Reddington secured her release. But his daughter is hiding again from him, partially out of resentment like her mom when Reddington became a criminal.
- Debunked. There's no indication that Red would place him on the Blacklist since he works on behalf of Berlin.
- Now confirmed - he is #7, though we didn't learn until the title of Season 2, Episode 16. Which (incidentally) makes him the first person ever to appear that is on the list, and the earliest before his Antagonist Title episode.
- Alternatively: Raymond Reddington is dead. James Spader's character is Keen's father who underwent plastic surgery to impersonate Reddington.
- Or she is a Replacement Goldfish.
- The end of "Berlin Conclusion" indicates that she may be the daughter of someone else.
- Further proven in "Tom Connolly" when the episode mentions her mom being an ex-KGB agent. The episode also mentions that Liz killed him in self-defense.
- The events of Season 4 suggests that Keen is Red's daughter. However, some fans aren't sure on whether this'll stick in season 5.
- Until proven otherwise it is confirmed. Which is sort of not the case.
- The end of "Berlin Conclusion" indicates that she may be the daughter of someone else.
The fake Reddington is actually the real-one's twin brother!.
It would explain both the blood test, why Reddington cares about Liz, as well as Red's father claiming that Liz is his granddaughter.
- Debunked as of "Rossvet". He's Russian Embassy employee Ilya Koslov.
Reddington's entire gambit revolves around his plans with Elizabeth, not with himself. As one of the rare people he actually has enough attachment to to lose his cool when they're in danger, she's one of the most dangerous to him. On the other hand, there are Blacklisters Reddington is perfectly willing to let go and even work wish, as long as they don't set him back - even Berlin could have become his partner, and he was pretty high up on the list...Reddington could be grooming Liz.
- As of Season 8, she's number one on the Blacklist.
- "Berlin Conclusion" does suggest this train of thought.
- Debunked in "Monarch Douglas Bank" since the episodes do not bring it up and take about his daughter.
- Further debunked since she's said to be the daughter of an ex-KGB agent.
- Debunked in "Monarch Douglas Bank" since the episodes do not bring it up and take about his daughter.
- Debunked. He's trying to bring the fight to Berlin due an incident in 2010.
- Seemingly jossed since the last few episodes revealed that he works as a Berlin agent.
- Further goes to this direction when it's revealed that he's trained by "The Major".
- Seemingly jossed since the last few episodes revealed that he works as a Berlin agent.
- Debunked as of episode 10 season 1.
- Said to be his father at the end of season 4 via DNA tests. Some fans, however, aren't sure if this'll stick in season 5.
- Think we can call this Jossed by this point.
- Debunked.
- He doesn't say this. He just wants to hunt down Berlin his network is trying to get at his.
The "truth" that Sam said Lizzy deserved to hear includes one of the secrets that Fitch wants to keep safe. That's why Red told Sam "I can't let you do that" and why he had to kill him.
This also ties in well with the above theory that Tom is working for Fitch, and why Tom traveled ahead of Lizzy to see his father in law (her father): to check if Sam lets anything slip on his deathbed. In fact, perhaps Tom already knew that Red was going to kill Sam, and doesn't realize Red is on to him. (Though that last one seems unlikely, obviously Tom knows his cover was nearly blown.)
Either that, or Tom was sent to kill Sam if he blabbed, and Red ended up doing it for him.
- None. It was done due to a secret regarding Liz's real father.
We've had no mention of her. Ever. We know more about Reddington's wife than Keen's mother. Perhaps she ordered Reddington's family killed and is the leader of the organization Tom works for. Keen is valuable for her biologic connection to the woman but also because of childhood memories that are locked in her mind. Keen became a profiler chasing these memories at least at some level. Her biologic father died protecting Keen from her mother after he found out who she really was. Her father was possibly a criminal in her mothers organization. Red and Tom are waiting for the information that Keen can reveal when she uncovers her memories. Red will use them to take down her mother and seek revenge. Tom is in place waiting for this possibility as a sleeper cell and will kill Keen and Reddington over the information. Keen isn't dead because her mother wants her alive unless she uncovers her real childhood.
- Debunked. Berlin's KGB superiors had most likely arranged for the death of Keen's mother since Berlin was looking the other way when she defected due to her marriage to an anti-Soviet dissident.
- Her mom died a few years ago after she was made. And later on after Red guns down Katarina.
- Rival? No, he is the Big Bad and Reddington is using her to catch him.
- Debunked. With the information in "Berlin Conclusion", this theory does not work.
- Further debunked. Season 4 suggests that Red is Liz's long lost father.
- Debunked. With the information in "Berlin Conclusion", this theory does not work.
Alternatively, since we know Reddington had a daughter, Tom was Reddington's daughter, but transitioned into a man. That's why he and Elizabeth are looking into adoption, instead of trying for biological children. Elizabeth doesn't know about her husband's past. Reddington thinks it's wrong for his son to keep such a big secret from his wife which is why he keeps telling her not to trust Tom.
- I believe he did this all on his own to create this black list, but he went through a Becoming the Mask and enjoys the comforts given to him while trying to help take down these criminals.
- Debunked. The story provided in "Berlin Conclusion" suggest that she may be the granddaughter of Berlin.
- Debunked on the latter one. She's the daughter of an ex-KGB agent.
- Debunked. The story provided in "Berlin Conclusion" suggest that she may be the granddaughter of Berlin.
Red is trying to protect Liz from Fitch and his Nebulous Evil Organization, which is why he started working with the FBI in the first place. And Tom is one of Fitch's agents, which is why Red warned Liz not to trust him.
- Debunked. Liz's father is someone else.
This is why:
- Red is a monster, because he learned the efficiency of the methods from his experience with Fitch
- Red is okay with being a monster, because no matter how monstrous he is, he pales in comparison to what Fitch's organization does on a daily basis
- Red had to cut off all contact with his family, abandoning them — perhaps so they wouldn't know the things he had done, perhaps to keep them safe from himself or from the enemies he had built up.
- Debunked. Red went into hiding and became an underworld figure in the 80s. His immediate family have new names. He also runs his own network separates from "The Alliance".
- Debunked. It appears that her "actual" father had nothing to do with Reddington. Although her adopted father, Sam, did have some history with him.
- Debunked. As of Season 1, there's no indication that Keen's real father had a criminal history with Reddington.
- Too obvious, plus you answer too much, if the answer to the two big questions (why is he interested and who's her father) is the same thing then what do you hook the second series with? No, the first series will answer why he is so interested and then second series will be for tracking down her actual father, dead or alive.
- Ever hear of "hiding in plain sight"? They made it obvious for that same reason, because we would think of it, then discard because its too obvious.
- Like I said, leaves the writers no room to expand the story, if they get cancelled before the end of the first series I can see them going for it but not if they have a second. Plus with writing you always discard the first two things you think of because they are the first two things the viewer will think of and you want to keep them guessing.
- At the end of "Anslo Garrick Part 2", Keen asks him directly if she is his daughter... and he takes a suspiciously long time to say "no".
- Dialogue in "Berlin Conclusion" suggests that it's not the case.
- Which is further proven in "Tom Connolly".
- Debunked. Katarina's fully shown on TV.
Reddington is playing a Thanatos gambit - setting pieces into place and adjusting the situation so that his inevitable demise happens at the perfect moment to crack open and expose the Alliance in a position where they can't defend themselves, and let the court of public opinion do the rest.
- Both debunked. It's Liz (see above).
Eventually, the need for both money to support himself, as well as allies to protect him from the military, causes him to sell secret documents that he is able to access to some unsavory people, thus beginning his Start of Darkness. Essentially, Reddington is Chelsea Manning before the internet and with fewer morals.: Mr. Kaplan suggests that it's partially because he got made by a Russian agent named Seaduke.
- My bet? He's her godfather.
Also, they really, really look alike, almost as if they're played by the same actor (Diego Klatenhoff).
Anslo Garrick and The Chechen ("MEY DAWGS! ARE! HUNGRAY!" guy from the Dark Knight) are played by the same person, and so are Lau (The Chinese accountant) and the Wujing. Therefore The Dark Knight is actually simply the story of the Wujing and Anslo Garrick working together in The Con. So:
- Lau is actually a cover identity of Wujing, who is pretending to help the Gotham mob so he can rip them off. Being caught by The Joker was part of his plan and that pile of money was entirely false, the real pile of money is safely hidden away. He escaped The Joker's Kill It with Fire ("Everything burns..") and returned to his operations (he IS a master of espionage, after all, faking his death is his bread and butter), with the mobsters' money.
- Meanwhile Anslo Garrick was just pretending to be Chechen, his job in The Con was to convince the Mob to employ the Joker (notice how he keeps insisting for the other mobsters to hire the Joker). So shortly after The Joker ordered his men to kill the Chechen and they dragged him away off-screen, Garrick promptly overwhelmed and killed both men and made his getaway, getting half of the money Lau stole.
- Raymond Reddington is this universe's version of Hugo Strange.
FWIW, Anslo Garrick isn't Chechen; his name and accent suggest South African.
This is how Red knows Sam, and why he (presumably) picked Sam, who probably did not go rogue, to raise his family for him. Sam knows the same secrets as Red, and has been living with them all this time.
This would also suggest that Tom was inserted into Lizzie's life in order to serve as a failsafe/threat for Fitch to use should Red go too far, since they can't kill Red because he has his secrets triggered by his death. The Emergency Stash is for use if and when Tom has to "pull the trigger," so he can make a fast escape. The gun being linked to the Boston assassination is deliberate to throw the authorities off. This also means Tom knew about the cameras all along. They were installed after Red made contact with Lizzie so that they could monitor her, and perhaps also to ensure Tom goes through with his mission if needed.
Another theory; while Sam, Red, and Tom all worked with Fitch, Tom is a later recruit, so Fitch figures Red isn't onto Tom, but Red knows due to his deep connections. Possibly through Sam, who presumably did not go rogue when Red did.
Actually, this would explain why Red surrendered himself to the FBI, because he found out about Tom and realized that Fitch had made a move on his family. Literally Red came out of hiding to protect Lizzie from Tom and the blacklist is just collateral to kill time "above water" without being in jail.
The more I think of it.... This is why on his first day out of hiding, he has already made a deal with Zamani to send a torturer after Tom — to give Fitch a warning right up front that his sleeper agent is vulnerable and that he is onto him and he can also pull out some creative hits/ops too.
This would also probably mean that Gina Zanetakos is/was also in Fitch Org, which is how Red knows she was Tom's lover, and why even though she spills the beans about everything she has done, she denies knowing Tom, because she knows he is a sleeper and even though she is out of the game she cannot expose other agents, perhaps for her own sake or for the sake of her own loved ones a la Lizzie for Red.
During the episode "Leonard Caul", Dembe lets Liz in on some of Red's secrets. The moment they shared in that scene led this troper to believe there's a deeper connection between the two…
It all makes sense! The DNA match yet 'Reddington' not being her father. Why he would care for her so much
Why Townsend wanted Liz dead after knowing the truth